Sunday, May 31, 2009

trading ideas

axl
  • short interest increased 45% in 15 day period between Apr. 30 to May 15.
  • i'd suspect that most shorts got in subsequent to the huge up day on May 8th.
  • as price continues to get trapped under 200dma (at 2.58), most shorts are in the money.
  • short squeeze play possible if price gets above 200dma & resistance area of 2.60 to 2.67 with momentum
  • resistance at 3, 4, 4.64.
bzh
  • at short interest of more than 22%, many are betting this homebuilder to crash as it gets trapped under is 200dma and 20dma.
  • i beg to differ as I see the price consolidating under its 200dma as a rather bullish sign. If i'm correct, we could see another amzn play.
  • amzn got trapped/consolidated right under its 200dma for a month (feb). during this period, many people on twitter were betting against it and added to their short positions. However we saw a short squeeze as amazon poked through its 200dma.
  • bzh is consolidating nicely via a wedge pattern under its 200dma, a break above 2.75 with momentum, would get shorts nervous to cover.
cnb
  • gotta be careful with this one. made 2 doji's on weekly with top volume.
  • but like the conolidating pattern and high short interest of 19%+
  • looking for above 1.4 with volume. multiple levels of resistance at 1.5, 1.6. high risk play, in&out.
more to come...

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