Wednesday, March 16, 2011

LVS - REVERSAL DAY

 1 MIN

 1 MIN (2DAYS)

 5 MIN

30MIN

DAILY

What I did right:
  • Followed my own judgement regarding the trade and didn't let other expert's opinion influence my decision to execute.
  • Was in this chatroom for the first time and asked them about shorting LVS AFTER i had entered the trade. The guy said not a good idea. But I believe in my analysis and stuck with the trade. 
  • Chatroom was talking about longing LVS just because it's new 200 day ma, which i disagreed. YOU CAN'T JUST BUY A STOCK BECAUSE IT'S AT 50 day ma, 200 day ma, or what the heck the ma or level is! YOU HAVE TO LET PRICE CONFIRM THAT IT'S DONE GOING DOWN!
  • Why did I stick with the trade?
    • great risk/reward 14 cents risk vs. 50 cents of reward.  Thats 3.57 to 1 risk (awesome)
    • longer term (dailys), medium term (30min) all in confirmed downtrend
    • price breaks shorter term uptrend with tight wedge at the edge of uptrendline making consecutive lower highs. This makes for very safe entry and  CLEAR risk/reward calculation.
    • Price below vwap
    • 50 cents was a conservative target to the morning lows. 
  • I scaled out and didn't chicken out all at once
What needs improvement:
  • I exited too quick. Very embarrassing to have seen it drop another 50 cents from my last exit. I mean it's true that hindsight is always right and we are not here to catch the top or the bottom, but i should have stuck with my strategy of leaving a small portion at least to see how it will turn out. 
  • How should I have kept the last piece? As long as any surge didn't penetrate 37.72 which was the last lower high. 
  • I did think about leaving the last portion. But at the same time, I was content with the profit already gained <-----bad mentality that needs correcting. THE MARKET DOESN'T CARE ABOUT WHAT YOU THINK.
  • The correct price to exit would have been 37.05ish.

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